New poll in Brazil: Lula maintains big lead over Bolsonaro in October elections

Rio de Janeiro. – With just over two months left before the October 2 elections, the new Datafolha poll published by Folha de São Paulo newspaper this Thursday indicates a stability scenario in the presidential race, compared to the last poll. previous president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) maintained the lead in the first round with 47% of voting intentions. He is followed by President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) with 29%.

In the previous poll, released in June, Lula with 47% and Bolsonaro with 28% showed voting intent.

Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, São Paulo. (Photo by Nelson Almeida/AFP)Nelson Almeida – AFP

The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus two points. New poll suggests Lula could win the presidential election in the first round, if the choice is made in the current scenario. The poll indicates that Lula, after the valid votes, will win 53% of the vote against 32% for Bolsonaro.

In third place, Ciro Gomes (PDT) received 8% of the vote. They are followed by Simon Tibbett who received 2%. André Janones (Avante), Vera Lucia (PSTU) and Pablo Marsal (Bruce) added 1% each, 6% of those polled declared the vote null or void and 3% didn’t know who to vote for or didn’t answer.

Jair Bolsonaro, presenting his candidacy in Rio de Janeiro.  Photo: Fernando Souza /
Jair Bolsonaro, presenting his candidacy in Rio de Janeiro. Photo: Fernando Souza /Fernando Souza – dpa

Also according to Datafolha, in a possible second round, he would defeat Lula Bolsonaro by 55% to 35%. The previous survey showed a ratio of 57% to 34%. In a dispute between Lula and Ciro Gomez, the Labor leader will win by 52% to 33%. If he faces Bolsonaro, Ciro will win by 51% to 38%.

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The Workers Party announced Lula last week with former Sao Paulo Governor Geraldo Alcmin as deputy to participate in its seventh presidential election after participating in 1989, 1994, 1998, 2002, 2006 and 2018. Lula won in 2002 and 2006 and in 2018 he was disqualified. For his conviction in two cases of Operation Lava Jato, the overturned provision that allowed him to participate in the 2022 elections.

Bolsonaro was announced as the Liberal Party’s candidate on Sunday, accompanied in the formula by his former defense minister and former chief of staff Walter Braga Neto, a retired army general.

OR Globe / GDA

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