According to the official forecast from the US National Bureau of Oceanic and Atmospheric Management (NOAA), the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season has a 60% chance of being “above normal”. However, experts do not anticipate the record storms witnessed last year. Hurricane season extends into the Atlantic Ocean From June 1 to November 30.
Satellite image of Hurricane Lara, August 26, 2020.
Experts predict more hurricanes to form due to Three factors: “Sea surface temperatures are warmer than expected in the Atlantic and Caribbean; weaker equatorial trade winds in the Atlantic; as well as increased monsoons in West Africa.”
Specifically, hurricane experts expect this season to be between 13 and 20 major storms (with winds exceeding 70 km / h), which can turn between six and ten into hurricanes.
Of those tornadoes, three to five can become higher category hurricanes, from Level 3 to Level 5.
For now, NOAA already has ready-made names for what’s possible Tropical storms and hurricanes this year:
- law Project
- Grace or grace
- who is this
- run out
- the flower
2020, year of records
The 2020 season was expected to be very active, but the reality exceeded all expectations.
In fact, meteorologists had to turn to the Greek alphabet after exhausting the list of 21 programmed names, something that only happened once before.
The year 2020 also closed with the second largest number of hurricanes on record (13), 6 of which are in a higher category (3,4 and 5 on the Saffir-Simpson intensity scale) and landing on the US coast with 12 storms, another record.
A large number of the storms recorded in 2020 formed in The waters of the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of MexicoThis is the reason why 9 out of 12 storms that blew over continental America did so in the Gulf states.