Why Gabriel Borek won: The jump in participation, RM’s overwhelming supremacy and good performance in the ‘Parisian Vote’

It’s the biggest difference between the first round and the second round. They voted in Sunday’s elections 8,362,384 people, with 99.96% of the votes were checked. 1.2 million votes over four weeks ago, a number that was not in any of the calculations.

For decades, the eight million votes have been the “holy grail” of Chilean politics. It seemed like a barrier almost impossible to break; In fact, it was not surpassed in the popular referendum for a new constitution last October, with 7,573,914 people.

Calculations before the elections indicated that a moderate increase in the vote, in the order of 300,000 votes, would have been in favor of Jose Antonio Caste if it had meant activating pockets of votes that did not participate in the epidemic as much, more than 55 and voters from the south of the country. But there was no doubt that an increase above that amount would be very good news for Gabriel Borek.

Thus, height ended up being a major factor that would see the candidate enter La Moneda with 4,619,222 votes, the highest number for a president in the country’s history. Meanwhile, 3,648,987 votes for Caste, also making him the losing candidate with the highest vote count on record, only about 150,000 votes remaining from what Pinera achieved in his victory in 2017. However, that wasn’t enough against the increasingly strong vote and preferences for Borek.

They were the two best Boric districts and it was believed that a good performance here could help the candidate. But the advantage is practically twenty points in both regions who also had a record of participation, made his impact larger by a margin of more than 11 points at the national level.

In the case of RM, in particular, Boric managed to reach 2 million votes and at the time of this report was ahead of Kast by more than 700 thousand votes. The turnout was 59%, two points higher than in the October referendum.

Borek’s performance in the populous major Santiago communes such as Puente Alto, Maipu and La Florida, where Borek doubled as Cast, cemented the big difference, which amounted to about 970,000 votes nationally. This, despite the fact that the mayors of two of the largest communes, Puente Alto and La Florida, lent their support to Caste’s nomination.

In other provincial municipalities in the metropolitan area, they also chose more for the “dignity approval” candidate, with only two of these, Colina and San Pedro, tipped by Caste. Creative Fact: In Pine, Caste’s stronghold, Borek was the winner: 54.61% (17,697 votes), to 45.39% (14,711).

While, In Valparaíso the distance was 140,000 votes. In other words, between the two most populous regions of the country, Porek received 850,000 votes.

The third in contention, the only one who did not line up to the end, and the candidate who made the gesture at the last minute towards Jose Antonio Caste. Franco Baresi tried to gain attention – along with his “Bad Boys” show – during the second round, but overall, the first analyzes indicate that not only his voters went to Caste in its entirety, but also a high percentage in favor of Borek.

An example is Antofagasta, the only region where Baresi won in the first round, and where Borek practically knocked him out. 20 points ahead of Kast (59.76% vs 40.26%). But also the standard bearer of Dignity Consent has had close battles with Kast in areas such as Arica, Barinacotta, and Tarapaka, and obtained very wide advantages in Atacama and Coquimbo, which are places that surrendered to the candidate who did not set foot in Chile during his entire election campaign.

In fact, many of the regions with the highest number of votes for Borek were precisely those in the north, with Atacama (65.47%), Coquimbo (63.28%) and Antofagasta fifth. In addition, in Magallanes, the home region of the now elected president, the proportion reached 61.3%, and in the metropolitan region 60.33%.

1. Atacama (76,251 votes equal to 65.47%, with 100% scrutiny of the tables).
2. Coquimbo (199,180 votes equals 63.28%, with 100% scrutiny of the tables).
3. Magallanes (47835 votes equal to 61.3%, with 100% scrutiny of the tables).
4. Governorate (2,052,725 votes equal to 60,33%99.51% of Ballot Pens Checked).
5. Antofagasta (128,004 votes equal to 59.76%99.93% of Ballot Pens Checked).

1. Araucania (278,288 votes equal to 60,14%, with 100% scrutiny).
2. rubles (136,610 votes equal to 58.53%, with 100% scrutiny).
3. BioBio (377,541 votes equal to 51.84%, with 100% scrutiny).
4. Tarapaka (58,477 votes equal to 51.29%, with 100% scrutiny).
5. Mall area (250,416 votes equal to 51.05%, with 100% scrutiny).