a New electoral ballot In the most important region of the country I have left amazing results. With th Agreed date of elections Only this Friday (STEP on September 12 and General on November 14), consulting firm trends Voting intent request by space and candidate in the province of Buenos Aires. In a central surprise: the head of the civilian coalition Elisa Carrillo Finished first, over cart and PAMI stand Luana Vollnovic.
trends It is a company born in 2017 that tends to bring its studies closer to left-wing sectors, such as FIT. He also had clients in the legislatures of Buenos Aires and Buenos Aires. Between April 29 and May 3, he surveyed 2762 cases, With +/- 1.89% margin of error.
PAMI President Luana Vollnovic was measured as a candidate in the district. Photo by Guillermo Rodríguez Adami.
The 19-page report starts with an extension Summary of results:
– “in this time , The main concern Of respondents is pandemic“.
– “The 38% Thought the situation is in The future will get worseIt is an assessment that began to decline since October. “
– “The 76% Your answer Much or some fear to what Someone in your family becomes infected“.
– “in this context, Restrictive measures They have Wide support In the province of Buenos Aires. “
Survey by Tendencies Consulting in the Province of Buenos Aires. How is the national government evaluated.
– “a 55% Consider it Classrooms should be virtual And 41% support preserving the presence. “
– “The Government Alberto Fernandez it’s a Negatively for him 56.1% Of the participants. “
– “The Agree to be discharged it has been settle down About the 40 points. In March 2020, when he took the first isolation measures, he got 90% approval. “
In conclusion, it can be said that According to this study, the majority of Buenos Aires residents support the measures and rhetoric De Fernandez and the Governor Axel Kisilov Prioritize health over economics, restrict circulation and face-to-face lessons – but it is Presidential administration critics. Also, as we shall see below, this has an electoral effect on the ruling party.
At the end of the study comes the electoral season. As a final precedent, we must remember that Frente de Todos got more than 15 points Together for Change in General 2019. How did you submit the survey? Here’s how the report summarizes:
– “related to Parliament elections From this year, there is A slight advantage In front of everyone As a political space with prof 34.5% From adhesion, in front of a 32.3% from Together for a change“.
– “Everyone front her Low voting accuracy compared to 2019“Today, at least a quarter of Alberto Fernandez’s voters are undecided.”
– “When requesting candidates for national representatives, Elisa Carrillo Up to prof 30.8% The intention to vote, in front of a 26.9% from Luana Vollnovic. Graciela Camano Harvest a 6% s Nicholas Del Canio a 4,6%Among the other candidates. “
Survey by Tendencies Consulting in the Province of Buenos Aires. How is the electoral panorama of the legislation by the survey.
The list is completed by area with an extension Left front s Federal consensus, Both at 4.1%, The liberals 3.2%, “null or white” 2.8%, “7%” will not vote, and “I don’t know” 12.1%.
Meanwhile, it appears for each candidate Jose Luis Esbert With 3.7%, 5.2% “white or null” and 22.7% “don’t know”.
Conclusions: Carrió defends the brand better Together for change that is Volnovic on everyone’s front. And even with weak polarization, A very competitive third space does not appear. Neither the non-Korean Peronists of the federal consensus nor the liberals who at one point threatened to approach a double digit. Everything is, of course, in a very introductory context and a high level of hesitation when asked by name and surname.
Clarion He consulted the company Why did they choose these candidates, In particular to Carrio: “Although not much clarity yet, it seemed to us that she could be a character who could contain space sounds, as if she was seeing where she was. This might influence her to bypass Volnovic, who is not very well known and this. Hurts her. “
Survey by Tendencies Consulting in the Province of Buenos Aires. How is the electoral panorama of the legislative candidate.
As this newspaper reported, In Together for Change there is a strong debate about applications in the province. President of the Government of Buenos Aires Horacio Rodriguez Larita – Who aspires to become a ship owner and thinks about 2023 – warned that they would lead Maria Eugenia Vidal a Diego Santelli. Whoever does not do this in the Buenos Aires region will do so in the city.
But a sector of together for regional change He refuses to impose Santelli And threatens to submit an internship if the candidate is. There he notes Mayor Vicente Lopez Jorge Macri. In the list of applicants, Carrió itself and even Rionegrino join Miguel Angel Pichito.
On the side of Frente de Todos there are also names for all tastes: Volnovich, president of ANSES and also wagon Fernanda Rafferta, chief of staff Santiago Caveiro, Advisor Felipe Sola And even stainless Daniel Cioli.