the World Meteorological Organization The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) estimates that there is a 60% chance of an El Niño developing between now and the end of July, and an 80% chance between now and the end of September.
What is El Nino?
It is located at about a natural weather phenomenon It is usually associated with High temperaturesa drought It grows in some parts of the world and is vigorous rainy in others.
last time happened in The period 2018-2019 And it led to a particularly long episode of the little girlwhich causes adverse effects, in particular a decrease in temperature.
Despite this moderate effect, The past eight years have been the hottest on record.
Climate change
Without La Niña, the level of climate warming would have been worse. This was a “temporary brake on the rise in global temperatures,” Petteri Taalas, Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization, said in a statement.
for his part, “The development of El Niño is likely to lead to a new peak in global warming and increase the chances of temperature records being broken.”to caution.
scorching heat
The World Meteorological Organization noted that 2016 was the “warmest year on record due to a very strong ‘double whammy’ of warming caused by human-related greenhouse gases.”
The effect on temperatures is usually noted in the year following a weather event. thus, The organization fears its impact will likely be felt in 2024.
Faced with this situation, Taalas reiterated the need to install early warning systems to protect the most vulnerable populations.