The financial group goes for more (Bx +) It is estimated that inflation will decline in the coming months الأشهر, having crossed the 6 percent level, because the factors that led to its raising it with transients; However, this year it will remain high and will close out 2021 at 5.25 percent.
The chief economist at Grupo Financiero Ve por Más, Alejandro Saldaña, said that Inflation falls outside the target range of the Bank of Mexico (Banxico), 3 percent plus/minus 1 percent, due to the low base of comparison, after noting lower prices in 2020 due to health emergency measures due to the covid-19 epidemic, as well as demand shock, given the reopening of the economy, and supply disruptions.
During the webinar Bx+ Trends: Balance and Outlook 2021, Note that Inflation will decline, but will remain above 5 percent this yearBy 2022 some factors will have dissipated and will be at more normal levels and within Banxico limits.
in devotion, Banxico will continue to increase the reference rateAlthough its speed will be determined by observed inflation and the balance of risks, Bx+ estimates that there will be an increase of more than 25 basis points this year. It is currently 4.25 percent.
related investment, the chief economist at Bx + noted that since 2016, the economy has remained in recession, due to the process of fiscal consolidation and the uncertainty created by the administration of Donald Trump, in the United States, and declined further at the end of 2018, with the collapse. in the year 2020.
forward, hIt is estimated that reopening means revitalizing investments The Treaty between Mexico, the United States, and Canada (T-MEC) attracts new projects; However, he expects public investment to remain limited and uncertainty remains in some sectors, especially energy.
In this context, the financial institution It is estimated that Mexico’s economic growth will be 5.8 percent in 2021, but in 2022 it was 2.6 percent, once the rebound effect wears off, after the 2020 contraction.
Alejandro Padilla Not thinking that economic activity will be affected by new infections of covid-19, nor that the economy will shut down again, although it may be delayed and affect some sectors.
Although the infection is growing, it is at relatively low levels, no He noted that there was a risk that severe restrictions could be imposed.”