Check which city currently has the climate your city will have in 60 years.

Buenos Aires has more coincidence with the central coastal areas. Credit: Matthew Fitzpatrick – Future Urban Climates
Christian Garavaglia

Christian Garavaglia 6 minutes

Climate change is already transforming the planet.These dramatic shifts are expected to accelerate in the coming decades in response to greenhouse gas emissions.

It is estimated that more than half of our planet will move into new climate zones by the end of the century.due to increasingly frequent and intense events of severe storms, floods, fires, droughts, heat waves and cold.

In this context of change, it is natural to ask ourselves: What will the climate of the future be like where I live? What city currently represents the climate conditions my city will have at the end of the century?

University of Maryland spatial ecologist Matthew Fitzpatrick decided Collect these answers through a new interactive map. Based on data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

the map “Future Urban Climate”connects 40,581 locations around the world to nearby locations that are currently experiencing their projected future climate for 2080.

For example, If you live in New York (USA), you'll have to travel to North Mississippi to experience what New York is expected to look like in 2080.This means long, hot, humid summers and a lack of the winter snow that characterizes the big city. If you live in Shanghai (China), you will have to travel to northern Pakistan. To experience what Shanghai's climate might be like in 2080.

Interactive Map Climate Cities Climate Change 2080
New York City will experience weather very similar to Mississippi. Credit: Matthew Fitzpatrick – Future Urban Climates

Since the answer to these questions depends on how the climate is expected to change, and since the exact nature of those changes is uncertain, The app allows you to explore results for both high and low emissions scenarios, as well as many different climate forecast models.You can map out the best matches in the city that interests them. Two scenarios and five climate modelsas well as mapping the similarity between your city's future climate and the current climate everywhere (based on the average of the five projections for each emissions scenario).

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“In 50 years, cities in the Northern Hemisphere will look more like cities in the South,” Fitzpatrick explains. “Everything is moving towards the equator in terms of the upcoming climate.”.

According to 2015 estimates, nearly 6% of the Earth's surface had already moved toward warmer, drier climates in 2010, compared to 1950.The largest changes observed so far have occurred in North America, Europe, and Oceania.

Climate of Argentine cities in 60 years: what are today's cities like?

From Meteored Argentina we tested the platform (You can do it yourself from this link) We find, as expected, that any city we choose will generally have a climate similar to areas further north in 60 years.

The cover image is a screenshot of that. It illustrates the case of Buenos Aires, which in a high emissions scenario, finds that by 2080 it will have a climate similar to Mocorieta (Corrientes), with summers 3.8°C warmer and 10.5% more humid, and winters 2.9°C warmer and 8.3% drier..

Other examples that can be highlighted from major Argentine cities: In 60 years, Rosario's climate will be similar to that of Jato Colorado (Santa Fe) today, while Mendoza will be similar to that of San Agustín de Valle Verte (San Juan)..

Interactive Map Climate Cities Climate Change 2080
The climate of northern Argentina would be similar to that of the interior of Paraguay today. Credit: Matthew Fitzpatrick – Future Urban Climates

In northern Argentina, Resistencia will have the current climate of Colonia Miño (in the interior of Paraguay), while Posadas will resemble the current climate conditions of Concepción (also in Paraguay).In Patagonia, Rio Gallegos will have the warmest conditions currently on record in Puerto Deseado. (Always on the Santa Cruz coast), while Comodoro Rivadavia will have a climate similar to that currently offered by the city of San Antonio Oeste. (In Rio Negro).

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“I hope this continues to fuel the debate about climate change,” Fitzpatrick concludes. “I hope it helps people better understand the magnitude of the effects and why scientists are concerned.”

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